Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. Scottish independence: yes campaign gets poll boost YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election). Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. We will not share your email address with any third parties. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. Another. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" Please try different keywords. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? You can unsubscribe whenever you want. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. What has happened to the once-great British Airways? Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. All rights reserved. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. About; Social . Boost for Scottish independence as new poll puts Yes up four points Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;rPublic Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. YouGov found . This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techme (10 February) which placed Labour on 47%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. Business & professional services. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. Question asked. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . Fewer than three in ten (29 per cent) respondents said they supported the [Gender Recognition Reform] bill, but more than half (54 per cent) said they opposed it. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Scottish independence. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. Scottish election 2021: Sturgeon says SNP 'not a divided party' YouGov | What the world thinks Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. Latest Opinion Polls - The Result Of A General Election Today Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland's May elections? In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Trend support for the Green Party has nudged up slightly to the 5%-6% mark. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Britain Elects (@BritainElects) / Twitter Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. All Rights Reserved. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%.